“Azerbaijan will escalate the Nagorno-Karabakh dispute between itself and Armenia as it tries to divert attention from domestic economic difficulties. Still, major military hostilities are unlikely to break out. Russia and Turkey will try to influence talks between the two countries through their respective allies.”
Stratfor, 28 March 2016.
Forecast for 2016 Second Quarter.
What happens when an oil rich dictatorship discovers that its income decreases and the population starts protesting? When oils prices go down and the dictator cannot sustain the country in order. Right, a small war is needed to distract the people’s attention from problems! Preferably, a war against a small liberal democracy. Yes! A formula used by all dictators.
Azerbaijan, being an oil rich dictatorship where the power transfers from father to son, could not miss that chance of attaching its neighboring small Artsakh (Nagorno Karabakh). A country with only 150k population. An unrecognized state that doesn’t want to live in a dictatorship. A country that can be a template of democracy, freedom of speech, human rights and citizenship in that region. A nation with high spirit and freedom cells injected in its body.
What dictator would tolerate that example by his side?
And so Azeri military forces cowardly attacked it on 2 April 2016 at 3am. By killing elderly and kids, cutting ears and molesting already dead bodies. A typical ISIS approach towards Christians in the Middle East.
But having only 150k population for Artsakh means all 150k will prefer to die rather than surrender. And that’s what the dictator could not understand.
Being spoiled by slaves and yes-men for years, the Azerbaijani president Ilham Aliev could not even imagine such defense. Artsakh is fighting for its existence. Because surrender means non-existence to Artsakhis.
Armenia and other peace-loving countries support this tiny democracy in its fight. It is a duty of every freedom loving citizen on the planet to support Artsakh and Armenia today.